Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 10.718029 12.554284 14.563646 16.919444 19.599175 22.545852 26.024407
2025-07-13 8.135257 10.746576 13.901867 17.963382 23.017519 29.062065 36.796261
2025-07-20 6.599342 9.586989 13.486587 18.875084 26.041745 35.149933 47.489062
2025-07-27 5.451302 8.592338 12.969082 19.383774 28.390338 40.407524 57.436949
2025-08-03 4.510120 7.657233 12.308256 19.489655 30.059878 44.764613 66.412395
2025-08-10 3.677658 6.704014 11.432707 19.097319 30.878227 47.899103 73.827736
2025-08-17 3.009032 5.873435 10.592634 18.598194 31.406273 50.562368 80.660321
2025-08-24 2.465631 5.145026 9.791246 18.022378 31.697171 52.818265 86.963336
2025-08-31 1.989739 4.441658 8.916591 17.190679 31.450905 54.170038 91.913059
2025-09-07 1.770642 4.183303 8.778270 17.578578 33.205735 58.733085 102.076107
2025-09-14 1.574670 3.932954 8.614064 17.887496 34.829497 63.165427 112.270480
2025-09-21 1.336607 3.545782 8.130196 17.544063 35.264686 65.641894 119.411993
2025-09-28 1.077899 3.075089 7.445241 16.806857 35.054133 67.236913 125.604856
2025-10-05 1.004167 3.029363 7.643093 17.845723 38.254642 75.013559 142.879564
2025-10-12 0.926289 2.955940 7.769310 18.752427 41.286780 82.709802 160.514444
2025-10-19 0.829992 2.810771 7.710003 19.258283 43.577631 89.221672 176.465299
2025-10-26 0.722861 2.607757 7.480970 19.363574 45.069506 94.356479 190.256494
2025-11-02 0.606164 2.343680 7.056726 18.973446 45.500255 97.517655 200.637278
2025-11-09 0.503672 2.091641 6.614859 18.477137 45.645749 100.120454 210.112953
2025-11-16 0.415116 1.855789 6.169046 17.904583 45.557498 102.238176 218.772335
2025-11-23 0.332957 1.612233 5.651712 17.077619 44.812593 102.975693 224.808190
2025-11-30 0.300316 1.541734 5.615547 17.463305 46.834670 109.429579 242.270744
2025-12-07 0.269223 1.466929 5.552862 17.770466 48.698487 115.666753 259.626881